Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Mikhail Kukushkin vs George Loffhagen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55af7a70ce5853d58376387f5718214a0b9bf1a47d4eecd1c41aa738951310e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kukushkinof Kukushkin, Loffhagen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Loffhagen | 44c | 745.64$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kukushkin | 62c | 641.42$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Loffhagen | 42c | 589.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Loffhagen | 41c | 513.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kukushkin | 60c | 458$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Kukushkin | 56c | 436.76$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Loffhagen | 41c | 430.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Loffhagen | 6c | 425.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Loffhagen | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Loffhagen | 41c | 162.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Kukushkin | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Loffhagen | 15c | 159$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kukushkin | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Kukushkin | 60c | 143.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loffhagen | 31c | 119.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Loffhagen | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Loffhagen | 29c | 113.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kukushkin | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kukushkin | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kukushkin | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Loffhagen | 13c | 88.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Kukushkin | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Loffhagen | 41c | 68.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Loffhagen | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kukushkin | 59c | 43.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Kukushkin | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.