Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fcd1af4b5f0f9f65bae52dc7d3eaa04e977846693ee149ade6e9f168638ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed William & Mary Tribe | 11c | 4,153$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.82 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 3,416$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 21c | 3,100$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 75c | 2,583$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed William & Mary Tribe | 23c | 2,519$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed William & Mary Tribe | 28c | 1,501$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked William & Mary Tribe | 26c | 1,139$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e7cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 18c | 1,132$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 69c | 831.33$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 692.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed William & Mary Tribe | 18c | 648.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed William & Mary Tribe | 29c | 565.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 474.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 77c | 469.7$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed William & Mary Tribe | 33c | 448.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed William & Mary Tribe | 49c | 438.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed William & Mary Tribe | 19c | 417.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed William & Mary Tribe | 25c | 388.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 306.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed William & Mary Tribe | 69c | 281.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed William & Mary Tribe | 19c | 275.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed William & Mary Tribe | 36c | 245.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked William & Mary Tribe | 31c | 232.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 227.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed William & Mary Tribe | 38c | 218.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 23c | 216.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 200.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 59c | 190.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 184.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 175.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 68c | 119.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 78c | 116.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 73c | 104.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 40c | 100.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 79.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 76c | 78.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 23c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed William & Mary Tribe | 39c | 64.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…afb7backed William & Mary Tribe | 34c | 53.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 79c | 51.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed William & Mary Tribe | 51c | 45.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…5b07backed William & Mary Tribe | 29c | 45.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 54c | 43.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed William & Mary Tribe | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 35.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…643ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 74c | 18.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 74c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 166.5Over won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 167.5Over won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-8.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.