Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Julia Riera vs Anastasia Zolotareva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbbff4e310be92cb4e5a0f82dcdafe707d59c31303480bda01154ed4e1f8182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zolotarevaof Riera, Zolotareva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Riera | 47c | 5,999$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Zolotareva | 29c | 4,338$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.84 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Zolotareva | 41c | 3,582$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.84 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Riera | 64c | 3,533$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.09 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zolotareva | 65c | 3,414$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.16 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Riera | 61c | 2,642$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Zolotareva | 41c | 2,375$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.73 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Zolotareva | 31c | 1,209$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Riera | 78c | 1,192$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zolotareva | 27c | 1,111$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Riera | 71c | 1,094$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.57 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Riera | 48c | 747.54$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.39 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Riera | 47c | 739.17$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Riera | 78c | 642.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Zolotareva | 25c | 590.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.61 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Riera | 57c | 476.39$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Riera | 41c | 466.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Riera | 74c | 429$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Riera | 36c | 426.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Zolotareva | 60c | 348$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Riera | 73c | 324.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Riera | 69c | 321.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zolotareva | 43c | 304$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zolotareva | 56c | 263$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Zolotareva | 26c | 258.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Riera | 60c | 236.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Riera | 67c | 232.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zolotareva | 45c | 218.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Riera | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Zolotareva | 50c | 198.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Riera | 20c | 171.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Riera | 76c | 105.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Zolotareva | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Riera | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Riera | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Riera | 74c | 91.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zolotareva | 25c | 91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zolotareva | 21c | 78.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zolotareva | 36c | 75.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Riera | 78c | 74.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Riera | 71c | 69.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Riera | 70c | 61.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Riera | 70c | 58.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Riera | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zolotareva | 49c | 50.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Riera | 70c | 48.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…74c6backed Riera | 78c | 43.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Riera | 79c | 42.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Zolotareva | 36c | 42.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Riera | 62c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Riera | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Riera | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Riera | 68c | 25.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Riera | 80c | 23.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Riera | 72c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Riera | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Riera | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Riera | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.