Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cdb9880884579629628c4e6df0ce1c9b39d874953b4c3d9711bf80b50345ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 69c | 1,781$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.68 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 39c | 1,066$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.59 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans | 33c | 888.06$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 67c | 340.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Michigan State Spartans | 35c | 186.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 37c | 141.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 71c | 140.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 28c | 80.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Michigan State Spartans | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 67c | 61.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Michigan State Spartans | 30c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…4303backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…0b3fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 72c | 19.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.