Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb923b5f3607155d18da1520dd1c383413e208a193b53a72ddf696bec6f2d035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed13…a708backed Jodar | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Fritz | 58c | 933.55$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Jodar | 37c | 895.44$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.42 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Fritz | 57c | 699.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…2a72backed Fritz | 55c | 475.94$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jodar | 45c | 383.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jodar | 45c | 372.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Fritz | 77c | 314.53$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Jodar | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Fritz | 55c | 267.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Fritz | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Jodar | 41c | 246.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Fritz | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Fritz | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Jodar | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Fritz | 54c | 195.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Fritz | 50c | 127$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Fritz | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jodar | 46c | 117.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fritz | 51c | 98.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Fritz | 55c | 92.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Fritz | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Jodar | 45c | 86.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Fritz | 45c | 85.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Jodar | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Fritz | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Fritz | 27c | 69.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 26cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jodar | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jodar | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Fritz | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jodar | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Fritz | 77c | 47.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fritz | 54c | 35.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Fritz | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jodar | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Fritz | 47c | 22.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fritz | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fritz | 52c | 19.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)this page
- Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarFritz won
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.