Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13930b9c5691cdd43c8f1d3814eade27058961bbbb051a5dc29a702c3e7a4430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 44c | 13,517$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,609.14 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 13,286$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 6,536$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.95 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 10c | 1,930$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,754$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 1,301$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 1,249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 1,100$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 66c | 912.01$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed No | 15c | 816$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 9c | 600.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 11c | 522.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 12c | 517$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed No | 5c | 465$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 40c | 331.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 303.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 11c | 295.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 13c | 280.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 73c | 273.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 263.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed No | 14c | 199.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 53c | 168.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 155.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…7fc7backed Yes | 47c | 153.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 15c | 148.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 14c | 122.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 110.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 53c | 94.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 46c | 87.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Yes | 37c | 67.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 67c | 59.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 24c | 59.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 53c | 54.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Yes | 52c | 48.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 47.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed Yes | 57c | 40.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 39.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 51c | 38.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…6647backed No | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.