Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ff3f250920f470a0b81233fae400dea85259fe7a8d7a0a3f4d3f20c7f88759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,224$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 518.81$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +235.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 435$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 10c | 433$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 373.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 53c | 344.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 10c | 308.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 10c | 136.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 9c | 135.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 60.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 50.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 40.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 38.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…b37dbacked Yes | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-11?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.