Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e99e473120d82b1335e1bed95d572bfb93a99d8ff64bc51dd49aeca5a6d6585
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OXENof OXEN, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OXEN | 53c | 3,441$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.05 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed KRÜ Spark | 47c | 3,237$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.31 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed KRÜ Spark | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed OXEN | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed KRÜ Spark | 4c | 949.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed KRÜ Spark | 64c | 917.47$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.33 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked OXEN | 51c | 813.97$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed KRÜ Spark | 69c | 729.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked KRÜ Spark | 50c | 394.35$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OXEN | 58c | 365.25$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked KRÜ Spark | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 38c | 234.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed OXEN | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed OXEN | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed KRÜ Spark | 62c | 179.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked OXEN | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed OXEN | 53c | 165.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked KRÜ Spark | 75c | 154.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed OXEN | 60c | 151.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed OXEN | 42c | 143$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed OXEN | 71c | 140.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OXEN | 68c | 129.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…2c5ebacked OXEN | 76c | 112.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked OXEN | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed KRÜ Spark | 60c | 99.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed OXEN | 39c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed OXEN | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed KRÜ Spark | 73c | 86.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked KRÜ Spark | 59c | 85.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Spark | 46c | 85.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OXEN | 51c | 77.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed OXEN | 58c | 63.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked OXEN | 42c | 60.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed OXEN | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OXEN | 47c | 58.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed KRÜ Spark | 28c | 57.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed OXEN | 64c | 52.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked OXEN | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed KRÜ Spark | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KRÜ Spark | 40c | 46.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed KRÜ Spark | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked KRÜ Spark | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…6431backed KRÜ Spark | 48c | 36.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed KRÜ Spark | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed KRÜ Spark | 59c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed OXEN | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked KRÜ Spark | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…e157backed OXEN | 45c | 28.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked KRÜ Spark | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed OXEN | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked KRÜ Spark | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed KRÜ Spark | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed KRÜ Spark | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked KRÜ Spark | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed KRÜ Spark | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: OX (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)OXEN won
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerOXEN won
- Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerOXEN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.