Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Farenvehn (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c95139638098c5af349e6f14d9146aca3417df5f0efc868133e82d5575fa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Farenvehnof KRÜ Spark, Farenvehn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed KRÜ Spark | 1c | 4,014$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed KRÜ Spark | 24c | 2,465$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.88 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked KRÜ Spark | 23c | 1,996$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked KRÜ Spark | 22c | 1,354$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Farenvehn | 76c | 1,011$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Farenvehn | 79c | 741.45$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Farenvehn | 78c | 699.34$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Farenvehn | 76c | 553.89$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Farenvehn | 77c | 496$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Farenvehn | 77c | 473$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Farenvehn | 77c | 399$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Farenvehn | 80c | 371.25$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Farenvehn | 77c | 368.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Farenvehn | 77c | 358.43$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked KRÜ Spark | 24c | 317.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed KRÜ Spark | 18c | 316.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed KRÜ Spark | 21c | 311.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Farenvehn | 76c | 308.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Farenvehn | 78c | 304.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed KRÜ Spark | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed Farenvehn | 76c | 243.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KRÜ Spark | 20c | 218.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KRÜ Spark | 17c | 141.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Farenvehn | 79c | 132.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Farenvehn | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…821fbacked Farenvehn | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Farenvehn | 79c | 108.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Farenvehn | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed KRÜ Spark | 21c | 100.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked KRÜ Spark | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked KRÜ Spark | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Farenvehn | 76c | 79.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Farenvehn | 76c | 71.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Farenvehn | 78c | 62.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Farenvehn | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed KRÜ Spark | 23c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Farenvehn | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…deadbacked Farenvehn | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked KRÜ Spark | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Farenvehn | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Farenvehn | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Farenvehn | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked Farenvehn | 76c | 27.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…cd73backed Farenvehn | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Farenvehn | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Farenvehn | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Farenvehn | 74c | 24.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Farenvehn | 76c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed Farenvehn | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…33bebacked Farenvehn | 76c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Farenvehn (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Farenvehn - Map 2 WinnerFarenvehn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.