Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Andrea Collarini vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca88957905223059eca647c6a2172d2188bb1e793e89ca5eb80186278a10974f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buenoof Collarini, Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Bueno | 46c | 5,400$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Collarini | 47c | 3,253$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Collarini | 38c | 2,608$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Collarini | 56c | 1,446$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.16 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Collarini | 57c | 1,045$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Collarini | 35c | 836.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.22 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bueno | 43c | 624.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Bueno | 50c | 600.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Collarini | 47c | 598.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Bueno | 56c | 540.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Bueno | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Collarini | 46c | 433.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Collarini | 45c | 378.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Collarini | 50c | 367.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Bueno | 55c | 361.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Collarini | 44c | 299.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Collarini | 44c | 295.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collarini | 47c | 290.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bueno | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bueno | 49c | 228.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Bueno | 57c | 176.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Bueno | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Bueno | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Collarini | 44c | 172.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Collarini | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Collarini | 54c | 149.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Collarini | 22c | 149.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Collarini | 8c | 136.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bueno | 66c | 124.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Collarini | 49c | 117.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Bueno | 55c | 111.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Collarini | 18c | 111.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Collarini | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Collarini | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Collarini | 47c | 96.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Collarini | 29c | 94.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Bueno | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bueno | 75c | 84.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Collarini | 26c | 82.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bueno | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Bueno | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Collarini | 22c | 59.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Bueno | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Collarini | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Collarini | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bueno | 51c | 42.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Bueno | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bueno | 50c | 31.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Collarini | 37c | 30.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Collarini | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Bueno | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Bueno | 49c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Bueno | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Bueno | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bueno | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.