Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b3bc1ad769ef5201301fa3df9e74bb2fd970f53e9fbb65a50850c5cccb9fae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 5,575$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 2,505$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.31 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 512.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 76c | 465.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 257$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 73c | 196.64$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 69c | 106.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 16c | 105.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 69c | 104.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 77c | 103.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 23c | 78.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 30c | 61.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…5f39backed Over | 71c | 27.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.