Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9c19fac3805d4474dd3303787eb1947fc9d4f7e1711f1951c94f41a8db67b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 6,311$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 44c | 2,063$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 893.24$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 77c | 519.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Under | 79c | 253.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 26c | 228.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 75c | 215$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 26c | 160.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 76c | 152$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Under | 77c | 130.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 77c | 123$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Under | 74c | 109.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…dd92backed Under | 62c | 79.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…a901backed Under | 77c | 71.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…0641backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Over | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 22c | 61.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 77c | 42.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547e…e0c7backed Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Under | 68c | 23.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.