La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b7d9beb68051a0a9406914cec021998dbd872d195537bfe6a1426441d7f5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 4,381$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.14 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 3,206$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.42 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 43c | 3,136$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.62 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 38c | 2,712$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked No | 23c | 1,690$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 43c | 1,129$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.36 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 42c | 1,122$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 43c | 982.6$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.52 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 928.93$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 928.13$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.59 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 880.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 57c | 699.41$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed No | 79c | 698.64$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 363.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 328.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 77c | 269.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 44c | 229.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 226.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 37c | 192.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Yes | 61c | 180.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 125.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 110.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 24c | 104.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Yes | 69c | 102.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 72c | 99.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked No | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 90.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 82.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 65c | 81.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 72c | 68.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 65.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 80c | 64.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 61.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 20c | 57.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 53c | 48.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 51c | 45.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 43.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 42.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 53c | 39.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 31.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 44c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed No | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 25.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Yes | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 70c | 18.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…4c30backed No | 80c | 18.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 79c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.