TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d91…df18backed Yes0c28,706$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.34748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes37c10,999$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.6315044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c7,688$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.474,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes48c7,357$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.4510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c4,765$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.523,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c4,113$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.152,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No52c3,141$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.597439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes13c2,437$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.810636.8%39 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa327…121cbacked Yes37c2,052$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…7ae4backed Yes72c1,895$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes48c1,249$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6913263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes48c1,200$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4517541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No62c1,169$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3722758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes37c1,108$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.844645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c1,108$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.971,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No47c1,089$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.062030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes48c1,060$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c1,043$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c954.76$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No61c954.76$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No62c933.93$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5628357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No62c933.93$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.567954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c796.92$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2520360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Yes37c780.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes14c677.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.844332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c675.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.21,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No28c648.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes47c626.73$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5613450.7%68 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes46c570$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.213230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c526.61$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.21,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c515.67$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.371,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes48c504.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.210343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes51c494.07$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9811551.3%59 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c488.93$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8747653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes37c442.09$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes48c420.72$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9511264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c402.53$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No61c400.23$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0417659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes39c335.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.041,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.089348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1eb…b334backed Yes53c325.37$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.856762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c302.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.841,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c296.33$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6435145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No52c259.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.429634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c226.59$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes8c224.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.953522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No29c214.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1722939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Yes49c198.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3523855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes52c192.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189c…2b05backed Yes18c190.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.819721.6%21 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes47c163.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No55c153.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No52c147.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.214178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Yes49c126.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No53c121.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.46373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No53c119.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1611266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No62c118.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.578055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes48c118.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.27037.1%26 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No52c109.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.682979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed No52c107.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No61c105.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.274858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c105.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Yes48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4449228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.476752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes57c98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8612553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No52c96.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.454959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No77c96.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.743865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5911656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed No55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No58c87.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.943979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc40…d641backed Yes48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Yes48c78.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.787159.2%42 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.717861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No54c72.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.356982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No50c63.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6917856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No64c61.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9419953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No51c60.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0619260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No51c59.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.689861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No37c54.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.198246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes51c51.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes45c49.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No51c45.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.081989.5%17 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked No55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No50c43.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722982.8%24 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+33.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No51c42.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9416456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes42c41.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3726241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No53c41.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.622347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No49c40.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.684254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes74c38.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.697072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547e…753cbacked No64c38.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No49c37.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.395172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4427055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked No61c36.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No50c34.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1916660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Yes72c33.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.292458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes49c31.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5432444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No58c29.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.542373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.