Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad9505fcaecd87c7d5ddad5ec621450dcdaa6b8c8a627289ff35721b0a7841d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 6,560$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.1 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 1,566$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.25 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 38c | 1,554$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,125$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 61c | 688.52$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 75c | 370.22$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Over | 46c | 314.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 78c | 172.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 130.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 25c | 102.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…fa93backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…505cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 60c | 36.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 30.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…b37fbacked Over | 40c | 29.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Over | 73c | 24.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.