Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4f88730b94808854208fed79179594b5b7feb941b99b1347daafbf01d7754b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 52,220$27,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,079.77 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 29,856$11,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,652.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 9,850$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 8,157$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.52 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 68c | 2,204$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.77 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 47c | 2,067$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.87 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 64c | 1,871$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 1,648$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.59 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 50c | 1,393$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.42 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 50c | 1,013$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 49c | 900.47$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 47c | 745.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 46c | 708.65$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 47c | 565.3$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 544.07$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 34c | 498.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 41c | 375.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…f858backed Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 314.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 187.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Under | 52c | 185.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Under | 55c | 183.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 48c | 178.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 24c | 174.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 55c | 164.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 61c | 158.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…8518backed Under | 53c | 152$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…7c39backed Over | 49c | 119.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -9.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Over | 36c | 91.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…d27cbacked Under | 77c | 80.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 46c | 78.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 43c | 71.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 53c | 65.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 56c | 53.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…9bf3backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…c9b2backed Over | 46c | 44.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…b3bfbacked Over | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Under | 68c | 36.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…28e6backed Over | 48c | 34.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…2584backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 54c | 32.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…7e15backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.