TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under52c52,220$27,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,079.7721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c29,856$11,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,652.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over35c9,850$3,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,425.392,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c8,157$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.521,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3024…c4acbacked Over48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Under68c2,204$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.77887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+47.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over48c2,200$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over47c2,067$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Over54c2,000$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.331747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Under64c1,871$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.413151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c1,648$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.5939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Over50c1,393$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.423043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under50c1,013$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.945448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over49c900.47$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over47c745.42$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.211324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Over46c708.65$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.982850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over47c565.3$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over47c553.19$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over36c550$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c544.07$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.422,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over34c498.03$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3323926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.115952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1763100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over41c375.12$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.88158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c314.93$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over45c199.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9811846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c187.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Under52c185.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.854542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Under55c183.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.642944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over48c178.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.846350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over24c174.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.66647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under55c164.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8129343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510342.7%44 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed5…472bbacked Under61c158.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Under53c152$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1fb…7c39backed Over49c119.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.782475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under54c116$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.363345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63727%10 W · 27 L-9.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…79a4backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479938.4%38 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325865.5%38 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over36c91.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd5…30f0backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…d27cbacked Under77c80.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.632255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over46c78.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4325949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over49c77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.732441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over43c71.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under53c65.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3137342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.619133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under56c53.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.510354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56330.2%19 W · 44 L-9.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.188048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8b…c9b2backed Over46c44.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.261546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a0…b3bfbacked Over34c38.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.021978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05c2…57d4backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…9881backed Under68c36.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f3…28e6backed Over48c34.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…2584backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under54c32.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9116453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a5…7e15backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2715558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.