Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2abc95177ad9582a12d06998d41e19e5003f5a5ca7aa3132f7a2a77d1b97f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 390$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 27.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.