Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163d7c7973792cdf73a33cf49d1cdbe1a03a4327f84afe0977b0224a374d34f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 55c | 364,497$200,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,453.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 299,599$134,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,779.19 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 31,211$14,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,162.49 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 54c | 13,091$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.2 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 53c | 6,943$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 5,691$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.67 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Over | 45c | 4,553$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 4,246$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.66 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 46c | 3,938$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.41 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 1c | 3,308$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 3,214$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.24 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 68c | 2,025$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.63 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,403$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.98 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 1,357$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,268$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.48 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 960.92$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.29 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 44c | 914.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Under | 57c | 877.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 59c | 862.19$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 45c | 770.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.53 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 752.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.35 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 54c | 739$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.06 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 56c | 713.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 614$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.4 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 65c | 562.05$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 47c | 557.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 33c | 518.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 52c | 451.92$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 45c | 399$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 349.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Over | 48c | 323.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 288.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 45c | 251$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 53c | 226.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 65c | 213.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 46c | 208.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 46c | 201.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Over | 45c | 200.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 190$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 45c | 187.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 46c | 173.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…72bfbacked Over | 44c | 158.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 155.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…063bbacked Under | 58c | 155.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 47c | 150.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…ca1fbacked Under | 55c | 149.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 51c | 132.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 44c | 126.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 117.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 104.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 46c | 92.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 87.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.