Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f570f768cedc43351a39906548b3aeabe6445c7810f81633b178a12cd36356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 6,782$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,374$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 3,003$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,823$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.7 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 2c | 2,423$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 1,683$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.55 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 1,390$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,065$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 12c | 1,048$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 76c | 673.02$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 7c | 417$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 67c | 393.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 355$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed No | 69c | 289.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 69c | 288$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 16c | 260.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 71c | 260.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 7c | 250.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 33c | 242.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 30c | 228$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 67c | 188.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 33c | 158.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 68c | 150.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 136.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…31d7backed Yes | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 24c | 102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 32c | 84.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 66.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 54c | 43.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed No | 70c | 37.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 69c | 35.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 31c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 67c | 30.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.