Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50fca4c88578e2d281b0d7018a9b75b4e7308b1c5f81b4a5bde8eaa9a821743e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 6,066$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.78 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 4,390$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,605$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 1,466$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.44 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 1,239$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,214$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 1,068$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.65 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 10c | 726.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 31c | 624.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 571$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 526.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 6c | 493.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…e344backed No | 69c | 436.23$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…7251backed No | 69c | 433.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked Yes | 31c | 388.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…82e0backed No | 69c | 331.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…4c06backed No | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…fc54backed No | 69c | 278.26$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 7c | 247.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 27c | 239.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…80d6backed No | 69c | 237.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 66c | 231.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…6093backed No | 69c | 227.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 211.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 19c | 200.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…1f5fbacked No | 69c | 150.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 31c | 107$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 69c | 65.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 69c | 59.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 55.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 77c | 32.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…8709backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.