Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid beat LOSC Lille?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7a1c042c520808128f62f75a8aa23551311c5ba8a959d50c52d25abb8d7e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 1,946$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.44 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 33c | 1,493$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 1,423$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.01 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 35c | 799.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 67c | 598.51$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 35c | 339.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 66c | 305.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 64c | 241.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed No | 34c | 239.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 66c | 105.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…f87ebacked Yes | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…c7e8backed No | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 32c | 84.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…b03dbacked Yes | 67c | 53.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 67c | 47.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…d309backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Yes | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…5875backed Yes | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…e027backed No | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…17dbbacked Yes | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Yes | 78c | 26.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…f69ebacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…7dd4backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…c4c4backed Yes | 65c | 18.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid beat LOSC Lille?this page
- Will LOSC Lille beat Atletico Madrid?Yes won
- Will the match between Atletico Madrid and LOSC Lille end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.