South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffe90f21453e2e0350b27aaf5c11d876e7ce03d8b9b193a9c2e4dad92959dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 22c | 1,249$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.82 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 34c | 851.87$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 21c | 799.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 630.65$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 22c | 602.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.47 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 598.46$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 46c | 541.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 77c | 179$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 11c | 172.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 78c | 129$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 78c | 123$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 78c | 118$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 77c | 114$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 111.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 78c | 107$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 77c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 96.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 68c | 86.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 85.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 77c | 84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 52c | 69.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Over | 77c | 69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 66.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 77c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 78c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 78c | 61.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Under | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 56.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 79c | 53.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 21c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 77c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 22c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Over | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Under | 65c | 35.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 23.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 63c | 22.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 77c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.