TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c11,354$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.954,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over62c4,707$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.082948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under61c2,619$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.565735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2472…8d9bbacked Over39c1,714$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over69c1,418$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over39c1,003$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.0219344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c997.88$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.671,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c936.63$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1718656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c893.75$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.972,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Over54c890$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Over46c656.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.811241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under46c466.92$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over36c433.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.415440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22831745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c395$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c348.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.113070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c277.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.561,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over39c240$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.616342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over44c232.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6610245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over35c219.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.725145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over35c214.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.573534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c175.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.415547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over44c155$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c151.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5922357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over41c146.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2115034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c119.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over39c112$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.324641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over40c100.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7511427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c99.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c97.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…ec0ebacked Over77c97.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over41c97.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2919544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Under37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9111741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.655056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over64c76.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.561573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over63c70.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.310634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over71c69.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9316865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over31c65.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.485056%28 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under62c65.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.454763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c58.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…3000backed Under60c55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under47c53.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.246342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over50c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2812445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.756650%33 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c4…3704backed Over31c48.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+224.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under63c48.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.755941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over58c46.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6857252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c42.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over48c42.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.233432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under59c42.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.938543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.335451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc60e…e94abacked Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…17c4backed Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over68c29.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.283751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over61c26.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.532352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c26.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3611855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over64c26.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.482763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.091947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under79c25.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.364057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over47c25.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under53c25.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf1…6adcbacked Under63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c24.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3138748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over70c24.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.292286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under63c16.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.714353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.