La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c34947d2c08fef91ac7b0d829294334631cb753e3913aceff8db3c6b165cf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x234c…0fa8backed Under | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 34c | 6,200$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 5,153$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.28 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Under | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 67c | 2,995$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 35c | 2,839$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 1,447$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.03 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 712.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 669.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 34c | 606$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 67c | 599.98$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 65c | 460.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 17c | 388.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 66c | 305$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 34c | 284.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 66c | 273.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 204$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 199.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 34c | 178.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 34c | 173.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 141.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 33c | 109.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 35c | 108.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 64c | 95.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 67c | 82.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 79c | 79.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 35c | 72.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 191 | 55%105 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 34c | 46.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 66c | 30.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 66c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 66c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…dc01backed Over | 78c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.