Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ccd0998cd21977f96a43f7fed3921c04f9004f5161184b7d82e79e0eeb08ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 52c | 3,754$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.25 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 50c | 2,777$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Yes | 52c | 1,462$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 48c | 1,446$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.81 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 49c | 1,397$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,219$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.1 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 37c | 1,064$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 29c | 1,019$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 63c | 992.29$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.01 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 48c | 703.79$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 520.93$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 47c | 510.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f90…153dbacked Yes | 48c | 416.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 48c | 300.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 37c | 272.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…2d81backed No | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…5a10backed Yes | 47c | 216$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 53c | 207$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 49c | 188.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5466…9e76backed No | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 48c | 107.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 51c | 99.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…d2c2backed Yes | 49c | 71.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 49c | 64.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…745cbacked No | 64c | 62.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…4854backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…7dd4backed Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…6d48backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…f9c3backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db6…1d97backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…71e3backed Yes | 48c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 49c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc0…762fbacked Yes | 50c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…d991backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…674fbacked Yes | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…e82cbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…422abacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98e…485dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…1b21backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…25a6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…c05cbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…48c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…efd5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…576dbacked No | 77c | 15.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?this page
- Will Stuttgart beat Juventus?Yes won
- Will the match between Juventus and Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.