TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayern Munich beat Barcelona?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes40c12,257$4,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No60c8,947$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.539038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes2c6,710$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.693619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No61c5,076$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.375352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No66c3,034$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.2522647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x627e…aab9backed Yes57c2,409$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No61c2,381$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.5211548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes7c2,234$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d2…6ffbbacked Yes10c1,575$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16260%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed No61c1,316$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Yes38c1,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd80a…ede8backed Yes18c897.61$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed No61c813.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.811729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes38c566.9$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5617053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5966backed Yes39c509.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…08a5backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+172.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x318c…1a2abacked No62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86e…1665backed Yes5c484.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8539…06fdbacked No63c474.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1235…7f74backed Yes38c396.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e7…9d49backed Yes40c328.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes20c322.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.694637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…366cbacked No62c320$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.61353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Yes40c316.98$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…9a7ebacked Yes40c295.88$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No63c294.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3412…8145backed No62c273.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes37c259.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.473132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Yes40c253.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.581850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd287…fe9ebacked Yes39c252.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…e413backed Yes38c222.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8476…036ebacked Yes38c210.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ba…5b74backed No64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2a…459abacked Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4d…6c0bbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-67%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No60c193.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.323240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5a…9909backed Yes22c185.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes40c178.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.483531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2134…0cbebacked No62c178.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No63c160.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2316447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c3…a73abacked Yes38c154.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed No66c150.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.755149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9326…d416backed No62c141.58$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd66…21bfbacked No64c139.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes37c135.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea3…f09abacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes37c132.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.792634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes35c132.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.473458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e6…d616backed No62c130.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75ab…8c6abacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes37c118.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3724455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7cde…9956backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa4…c487backed No63c99.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0272…73d3backed No63c99.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c3…d502backed No63c99.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…5538backed No63c99.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x019b…52fcbacked No63c99.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfd…cb9bbacked No62c99.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…cb5abacked Yes39c99.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.641637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7d…d669backed Yes39c98.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x304c…1e74backed Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…7493backed Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ad…3209backed Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…cce7backed Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…b46cbacked Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…bf19backed Yes38c98.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db8…2643backed No64c97.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes40c92.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No63c92.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.219752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb1…36f9backed Yes31c90.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c5…9fb8backed Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfc…cd91backed Yes38c77.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3429…7dd4backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes37c66.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e70…9047backed No59c63.79$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes40c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8a…a2f2backed Yes38c52.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c4…f2e2backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1aa…854abacked Yes36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes42c43.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.392839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.813139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a92…ad49backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…382bbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed No64c32.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e99…c594backed Yes37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bff…15a7backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf73…0436backed No62c30.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.