NFL · resolved market
Will the Jets and Patriots combine for 39 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2876b6a5152dacef31e38fd6cb79e8b7b05b246f2bab91203dc79e2022f82d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 49c | 10,779$5,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 51c | 9,154$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.66 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 51c | 8,022$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.65 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 49c | 5,445$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.09 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked No | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 41c | 1,109$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.13 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…ec89backed Yes | 52c | 1,080$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…d70abacked Yes | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 48c | 984$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.68 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 50c | 774.13$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.07 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 48c | 418.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…e94dbacked Yes | 52c | 297.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 49c | 262.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked No | 66c | 260.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…cf27backed No | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…0739backed Yes | 46c | 129.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…283ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 54c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…f70bbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jets and Patriots combine for 39 or more points?this page
- Will the Jets win by 7 or more points?Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.