TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Paul Jubb vs Maxim Mrva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxim Mrvaof Paul Jubb, Maxim Mrva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,000 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x085e…9aeabacked Maxim Mrva50c3,514$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.7611552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Paul Jubb32c3,061$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paul Jubb31c2,349$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Maxim Mrva49c2,059$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.0920043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Paul Jubb51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Maxim Mrva70c1,389$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.276432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paul Jubb40c1,383$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paul Jubb50c1,149$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Paul Jubb5c1,009$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5372132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Maxim Mrva53c938.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Paul Jubb15c915.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.171,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Paul Jubb52c866.8$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.573743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Paul Jubb14c863.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Paul Jubb7c820.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.852,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Paul Jubb50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Paul Jubb47c574.39$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.235032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd646…6832backed Maxim Mrva54c558.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.632161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Paul Jubb50c548.82$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9628552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9334…df9ebacked Paul Jubb49c507.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.534520%9 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Maxim Mrva41c488.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2767239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maxim Mrva79c445.04$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Maxim Mrva49c420.3$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.354,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Maxim Mrva66c409.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.364065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Maxim Mrva52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Paul Jubb3c370.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.232,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffcd…af34backed Paul Jubb18c351.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.66616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maxim Mrva78c339.53$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.192,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Paul Jubb50c337.92$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16824350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Paul Jubb47c321.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paul Jubb33c306.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.169,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Maxim Mrva50c300.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.825250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Paul Jubb7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…d3dabacked Paul Jubb43c271.15$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.594643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9179…b046backed Maxim Mrva52c270$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84be…e47fbacked Paul Jubb52c266.25$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Maxim Mrva50c238.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.222846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Paul Jubb50c228.12$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.067549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Paul Jubb48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Paul Jubb49c205.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Maxim Mrva49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0821856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paul Jubb22c204.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.082,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Paul Jubb50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7e02backed Maxim Mrva49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ca…468abacked Paul Jubb48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Maxim Mrva50c188.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.297141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maxim Mrva53c187.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.241,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Maxim Mrva54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1929637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Paul Jubb46c166$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.861,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Paul Jubb48c164.77$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5320552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Paul Jubb51c164.22$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7542358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Paul Jubb52c163.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maxim Mrva52c150.85$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.744,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Maxim Mrva51c149.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.971,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maxim Mrva51c143$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.047,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paul Jubb16c142.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.157,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Paul Jubb47c136$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5734744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Maxim Mrva49c136$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Paul Jubb43c134.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5871857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Maxim Mrva49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Maxim Mrva49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.17540%30 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Paul Jubb31c102.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4526349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Maxim Mrva55c101$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.456645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Paul Jubb50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Paul Jubb25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Paul Jubb49c98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.021,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Maxim Mrva78c90.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0215655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Maxim Mrva56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2912739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Maxim Mrva52c89.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Maxim Mrva57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Paul Jubb52c85.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.594656.5%26 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Paul Jubb50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Maxim Mrva50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Paul Jubb48c77.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3215353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Paul Jubb34c76.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Maxim Mrva60c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0943951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Paul Jubb48c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Paul Jubb43c71.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.581,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Paul Jubb19c69.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Maxim Mrva52c65.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2765849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Paul Jubb49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3627664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Paul Jubb50c61.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.771,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Maxim Mrva50c59.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.991,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Paul Jubb48c59.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.576942%29 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maxim Mrva46c56.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.673,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Maxim Mrva60c52.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0815151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Maxim Mrva57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.639462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul Jubb48c52.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Maxim Mrva41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7889364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd015…ec20backed Maxim Mrva80c48.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.74158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paul Jubb37c48.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Maxim Mrva71c41.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Maxim Mrva50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2077047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Maxim Mrva51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maxim Mrva69c37.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.696,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paul Jubb48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Paul Jubb56c35.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paul Jubb39c34.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffc…b48bbacked Paul Jubb45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Maxim Mrva50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1627246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a83bbacked Paul Jubb50c31.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.