TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katarzyna Kawa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anhelina Kalininaof Anhelina Kalinina, Katarzyna Kawa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,328 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Katarzyna Kawa1c32,168$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.663,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Katarzyna Kawa22c5,544$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.793743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Katarzyna Kawa0c3,864$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Katarzyna Kawa27c3,662$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Katarzyna Kawa22c2,708$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Anhelina Kalinina75c1,706$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.892,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Anhelina Kalinina77c1,681$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.048058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Anhelina Kalinina78c1,642$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.16,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Katarzyna Kawa23c1,531$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.771,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Katarzyna Kawa25c1,199$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8820336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Anhelina Kalinina77c1,176$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Anhelina Kalinina77c1,169$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8312066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Anhelina Kalinina80c1,075$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9910655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Katarzyna Kawa23c1,073$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Katarzyna Kawa5c911.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.613315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Katarzyna Kawa23c905.17$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.514225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Katarzyna Kawa23c897.03$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0821720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Katarzyna Kawa22c879.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Katarzyna Kawa7c859.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Katarzyna Kawa22c818.46$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.771,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Katarzyna Kawa20c760.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1361924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Anhelina Kalinina75c725$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.018343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Katarzyna Kawa2c724.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.662550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Anhelina Kalinina77c714.29$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2925250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Katarzyna Kawa24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Katarzyna Kawa21c490.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.14,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Anhelina Kalinina75c482.01$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.389,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Anhelina Kalinina75c473$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.057,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Anhelina Kalinina76c455.07$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.223948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…df9ebacked Katarzyna Kawa23c439.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.194520%9 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Katarzyna Kawa25c430$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.861,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Anhelina Kalinina76c400$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3327940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Katarzyna Kawa26c380.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffcd…af34backed Katarzyna Kawa12c375$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.69616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Katarzyna Kawa22c372.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5513113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Anhelina Kalinina76c320.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9935360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Katarzyna Kawa24c300.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0933346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Katarzyna Kawa23c300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Katarzyna Kawa24c295$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.381,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Katarzyna Kawa5c294.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Anhelina Kalinina74c282.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.512,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Anhelina Kalinina77c265$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.22,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Anhelina Kalinina78c255.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.171,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Anhelina Kalinina79c208.86$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.867345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Anhelina Kalinina77c201.83$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.433852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Anhelina Kalinina79c200.05$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.016668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Anhelina Kalinina77c193.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Katarzyna Kawa21c176.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.326349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Anhelina Kalinina71c153.32$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.464,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Katarzyna Kawa22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3386835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katarzyna Kawa8c145.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.757,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Anhelina Kalinina79c137.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.799462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Anhelina Kalinina77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8733149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Anhelina Kalinina77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8721856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Anhelina Kalinina78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Anhelina Kalinina77c127$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.227,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Anhelina Kalinina77c122$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.064,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Katarzyna Kawa22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Anhelina Kalinina78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Anhelina Kalinina34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662951.7%15 W · 14 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Katarzyna Kawa23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Katarzyna Kawa19c89.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.348231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Anhelina Kalinina78c86.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0865849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Katarzyna Kawa12c84.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57fe…13c1backed Anhelina Kalinina78c82.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0910044%44 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Anhelina Kalinina76c78.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7123761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcbb…68fabacked Katarzyna Kawa26c78.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Katarzyna Kawa24c69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.442,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Katarzyna Kawa22c67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.748724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Katarzyna Kawa21c62.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0630844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Katarzyna Kawa22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.260240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Anhelina Kalinina80c58.97$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Katarzyna Kawa23c52.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.851,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Katarzyna Kawa23c51.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Anhelina Kalinina50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.15927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Katarzyna Kawa23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.529947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Anhelina Kalinina78c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Anhelina Kalinina54c45.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0129039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Anhelina Kalinina80c38.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.728361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af9…5bf2backed Anhelina Kalinina77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.473073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Anhelina Kalinina52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953548.6%17 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Anhelina Kalinina79c22.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8116175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Anhelina Kalinina78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…eca5backed Anhelina Kalinina78c21.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca18…1921backed Anhelina Kalinina79c20.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef3…acdfbacked Anhelina Kalinina50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Anhelina Kalinina57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5569438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Anhelina Kalinina57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5525737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e1…ac45backed Anhelina Kalinina79c19.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Anhelina Kalinina75c17.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Anhelina Kalinina77c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.925967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb923…89dbbacked Anhelina Kalinina79c16.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.563100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6022…97e2backed Anhelina Kalinina79c16.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Anhelina Kalinina79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1941668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Anhelina Kalinina76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Anhelina Kalinina79c13.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.88756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Anhelina Kalinina78c12.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8210550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.