Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Joblife vs DNSTY (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9368804f6705cfe8380224ba858feb0b7d4c164afd5a354f07f418d4648d0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DNSTYof Joblife, DNSTY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Joblife | 49c | 4,702$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DNSTY | 53c | 2,532$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.75 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed DNSTY | 56c | 1,976$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DNSTY | 47c | 1,416$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Joblife | 48c | 732.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked DNSTY | 53c | 510$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Joblife | 33c | 216.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DNSTY | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Joblife | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Joblife | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed DNSTY | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DNSTY | 42c | 41.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked Joblife | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…a5e6backed Joblife | 64c | 23.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.