Premier League · resolved market
Will Brackley Town FC win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd3315402ae532a88aaae2e3ea535bf0e9e8cf00706925ee2870955e8af1ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 807.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 319.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 77c | 301.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 78c | 191.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 159.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 130.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 20c | 121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brackley Town FC win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.