Premier League · resolved market
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8560a34e44bc644cb6969fa81bb775c675d1e9224a3da3ee09edaca1a61c7a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 53c | 3,860$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 55c | 3,604$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.73 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 2,858$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 1,836$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.04 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,667$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 48c | 360.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 43c | 253.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 165.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 45c | 122.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 106.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 56c | 86.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 35c | 60.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 60.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 51c | 58.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 54.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 51c | 43.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 51c | 27.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes | 65c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 57c | 20.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brackley Town FC win on 2025-12-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.