Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f463ae64bbe8ac44ff814a84021633f35f00add03ccb2ab2a84811c9f161293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 25c | 80,010$20,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,201.9 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 74c | 36,665$27,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,518.97 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 36c | 7,068$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.59 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 59c | 4,157$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.28 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 59c | 2,544$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.62 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 1,558$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 62c | 1,155$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.04 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 64c | 1,125$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.43 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 63c | 557.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 499.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 486.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 63c | 323.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 298.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 271.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 58c | 256.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 234.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 229.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 61c | 150.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 61c | 113.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 41c | 101.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 42c | 89.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Yes | 61c | 81.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 32c | 74.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…921bbacked Yes | 59c | 67.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed No | 38c | 52.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes | 59c | 50.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…8194backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 42c | 42.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 65c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Yes | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 63c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 65c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-11?No won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.