Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390e7cf7879dd7f7b1e6e7c82767963ab94cb2094fa73b6dda94899fb8f5126c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Lifeof DN Freecs, Hanwha Life
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 62c | 819.35$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Hanwha Life | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Hanwha Life | 38c | 435$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked Hanwha Life | 37c | 324.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed DN Freecs | 15c | 318$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Hanwha Life | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed DN Freecs | 60c | 275$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DN Freecs | 61c | 250$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Hanwha Life | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed DN Freecs | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked DN Freecs | 58c | 171.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Life | 31c | 155$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hanwha Life | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked DN Freecs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Hanwha Life | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…307ebacked Hanwha Life | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…096cbacked Hanwha Life | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hanwha Life | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed DN Freecs | 40c | 25.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Hanwha Life | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked DN Freecs | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.