Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9825f7716c38f9b2e7e15432e1c1ad2bb1bb5f254a668d09336b91ddd0659e3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 25,947$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 3c | 21,753$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 19,764$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.93 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 14c | 13,320$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.74 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 11c | 11,822$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.81 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 12c | 11,300$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.66 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 13c | 9,568$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 3c | 9,382$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 16c | 8,465$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.37 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 14c | 8,328$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 14c | 7,084$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.7 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 7c | 6,123$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 13c | 5,984$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.97 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,870$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 15c | 4,355$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.31 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 13c | 3,921$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.01 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 12c | 3,080$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 7c | 1,726$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,537$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed No | 16c | 1,390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 14c | 1,357$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 16c | 1,328$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 13c | 1,113$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 13c | 1,010$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 12c | 999.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 41c | 800$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 11c | 799.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…4c1dbacked No | 13c | 677.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 8c | 610.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 14c | 538.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 16c | 510$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 12c | 468.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 15c | 443.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…e866backed No | 6c | 331.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 14c | 320$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 12c | 305.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 16c | 229.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 13c | 199.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 14c | 143.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 14c | 134.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed No | 16c | 122.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 13c | 87.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked No | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…e6ffbacked No | 15c | 66.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 16c | 65.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Georgia win on 2025-10-11?No won
- Will Spain vs. Georgia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.