Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf50de5e527d215233bc5e6d0b4d8aa13e3a71aa08055a6cf1e7e356b93eab192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 37c | 4,937$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 62c | 383.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 65c | 306.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 300.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 41c | 165$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 160.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 154.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 123.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 102.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 102.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 45c | 101.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 38c | 92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 78c | 91.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 38c | 84.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 35c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 49c | 72.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 53.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 33c | 53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 64c | 52.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…39f9backed Yes | 48c | 44.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 63c | 38.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 53c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 69cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?No won
- Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.