Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x420e1403025fd852fab260a3fd9ef3f997a29ae0289d74620d4bf90bc5329437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 19c | 370$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 15c | 254.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 28c | 197.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 18c | 193$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 142.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 28c | 106.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 102.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 84.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 80.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed No | 58c | 70.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 69c | 66.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 58.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…13eebacked Yes | 35c | 57.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…921bbacked Yes | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1eddbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 36.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 75cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.