Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40aa3558af1c3aec9b59d32cf02641d10ebd005ebf74cdbc3a3cbd968e9dfdb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 18,922$7,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,164 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 4,983$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.46 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 3,577$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.46 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 49c | 3,301$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.74 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 44c | 2,282$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 1,888$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.74 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 65c | 1,745$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.79 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,354$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.71 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 870$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.68 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…38fbbacked Yes | 59c | 849.15$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 822.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 811.76$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.14 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 650$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5989…e1d5backed Yes | 37c | 540.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 29c | 515$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 61c | 408.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 379.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 57c | 357.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 62c | 322.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 40c | 298.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 49c | 276.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 51c | 251.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…6439backed Yes | 51c | 234.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…c679backed Yes | 58c | 165.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 157.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97bd…02e3backed Yes | 62c | 154.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 88.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 42c | 86.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 40c | 83.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…290dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 57c | 69.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 45c | 66.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…9d9abacked Yes | 71c | 62.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 52c | 52.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 22c | 46.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…39f9backed Yes | 62c | 41.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 44c | 39.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…14ddbacked Yes | 57c | 29.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 62c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 52c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 57c | 18.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will UMF Breiðablik vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.