Tennis · resolved market
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2901da6ba02c0d9ff563d76b795ef358385516ec3164587b1f25fc89ee3a5107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Mboko, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Rybakina | 24c | 114,739$27,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,375.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mboko | 16c | 18,484$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,472.49 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Mboko | 31c | 7,242$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.27 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mboko | 32c | 3,948$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.72 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Mboko | 31c | 3,609$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.08 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rybakina | 68c | 2,650$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.47 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Rybakina | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rybakina | 71c | 2,103$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rybakina | 66c | 2,072$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.37 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mboko | 21c | 2,004$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.32 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Rybakina | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rybakina | 67c | 1,325$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.17 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Mboko | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.08 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Mboko | 28c | 1,045$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.64 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mboko | 31c | 914.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.86 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Rybakina | 68c | 710$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mboko | 36c | 692.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.87 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mboko | 32c | 641.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mboko | 22c | 572.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.59 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Rybakina | 64c | 547.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rybakina | 67c | 510.49$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 68c | 500$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…20e8backed Mboko | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mboko | 16c | 486.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Rybakina | 68c | 444.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Rybakina | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mboko | 34c | 355$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Rybakina | 67c | 310.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mboko | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Mboko | 33c | 293.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mboko | 39c | 287$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mboko | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Rybakina | 62c | 258.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Rybakina | 51c | 233.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Rybakina | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked Mboko | 23c | 195.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mboko | 27c | 172$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Mboko | 30c | 166.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Mboko | 31c | 152.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Mboko | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Rybakina | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Mboko | 21c | 141.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Mboko | 33c | 139.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Rybakina | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rybakina | 71c | 132$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Rybakina | 68c | 113$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…4b10backed Rybakina | 69c | 110.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Mboko | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…c0debacked Mboko | 34c | 84.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…8c7fbacked Mboko | 33c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rybakina | 66c | 67.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Rybakina | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mboko | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Rybakina | 67c | 49.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Mboko | 32c | 38.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…5ba6backed Mboko | 39c | 37.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Mboko | 64c | 33.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Mboko | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rybakina | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Rybakina | 69c | 29.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Rybakina | 67c | 28.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Rybakina | 68c | 22.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Rybakina | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rybakina | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Rybakina | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Rybakina | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.