NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe9381d53db7eebbea2a1a1409969d79df929b190f113a60e9cb0e7bf607379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 54c | 19,265$10,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,830.06 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 11,609$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.09 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Red Wings | 46c | 7,004$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 45c | 3,565$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.49 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 14c | 3,449$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.85 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Wings | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.97 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,824$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Red Wings | 23c | 1,707$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.36 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,645$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Senators | 56c | 1,632$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Senators | 71c | 1,468$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,458$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.68 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Red Wings | 9c | 1,335$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Red Wings | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Senators | 56c | 984.6$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.6 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Senators | 54c | 977.05$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings | 45c | 933.4$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.03 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Red Wings | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Senators | 54c | 824.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.04 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 56c | 763.64$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 44c | 715.94$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Red Wings | 44c | 607.53$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 545$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Red Wings | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 44c | 499.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 436$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 45c | 413$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Senators | 55c | 343.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Red Wings | 6c | 261.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Red Wings | 29c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Senators | 56c | 117.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…67a7backed Red Wings | 45c | 105.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Red Wings | 45c | 103.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…ef31backed Red Wings | 45c | 101.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…f457backed Senators | 56c | 96.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…be9fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 94.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…80e0backed Senators | 57c | 93.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…f568backed Red Wings | 44c | 92.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…605dbacked Senators | 56c | 91.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Senators | 56c | 86.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…8756backed Senators | 56c | 85.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…55bebacked Senators | 57c | 85.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…117bbacked Red Wings | 45c | 83.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…a432backed Red Wings | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…5e8abacked Senators | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Red Wings | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…6533backed Senators | 57c | 79.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…1321backed Red Wings | 45c | 76.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked Red Wings | 45c | 74.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…143bbacked Red Wings | 45c | 69.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Senators | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed Senators | 56c | 64.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…f594backed Red Wings | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Wings | 44c | 59.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Senators | 56c | 58.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Senators | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Wings | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…16fdbacked Red Wings | 45c | 53.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Senators | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Senators | 55c | 48.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Red Wings | 46c | 48.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Red Wings | 46c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…e810backed Senators | 56c | 46.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…d3aabacked Red Wings | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Red Wings | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…65b4backed Red Wings | 47c | 40.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Senators | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Senators | 56c | 37.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Senators | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Senators | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Red Wings | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Senators | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Senators | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…e9d1backed Senators | 54c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Red Wings | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…de5cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…c116backed Red Wings | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…cdf9backed Senators | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…be62backed Red Wings | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…6644backed Senators | 54c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…6999backed Senators | 54c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…5fdcbacked Senators | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.