TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Pelicans2c12,760$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans23c12,356$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.6829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Pelicans0c11,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e58…aaafbacked Trail Blazers42c10,056$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…7c98backed Pelicans58c10,022$5,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+163.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Trail Blazers75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans53c7,800$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4849…0f64backed Trail Blazers47c6,350$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c6,200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers43c4,277$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers47c4,037$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.8176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…508ebacked Pelicans53c4,009$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Trail Blazers45c3,582$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.849250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Pelicans56c3,547$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pelicans56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans37c2,698$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2619350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Pelicans14c2,219$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4914941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans2c2,200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.511,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa683…b03bbacked Pelicans53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Trail Blazers46c1,901$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.487032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers46c1,820$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Trail Blazers42c1,504$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.093627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans44c1,479$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.3815947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Pelicans32c1,300$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.16634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pelicans52c1,251$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4720047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Trail Blazers47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans50c1,168$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3239843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…ad17backed Pelicans54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Trail Blazers46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans55c999.83$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.5875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans57c967.83$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.7285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans46c837.81$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Pelicans54c747.7$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.764045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans52c731.07$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Trail Blazers44c703.94$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers44c665.71$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.171,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans56c660.94$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.1330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Trail Blazers45c658.57$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.219952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Trail Blazers44c594.84$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4319845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed Pelicans53c579.98$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.391241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef8…d771backed Trail Blazers45c579.59$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1838132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers64c557.93$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.295,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans5c516$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.825502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc32…78e9backed Trail Blazers42c513.82$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d6…f16dbacked Pelicans59c513.82$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans57c500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.91,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Pelicans58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans57c499.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans57c499.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans57c474.05$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0b…b710backed Pelicans54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers46c429.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Trail Blazers69c406.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans55c404.78$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6351037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78e…9ba9backed Pelicans57c384.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans57c358.92$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdc…ebf8backed Trail Blazers44c329.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0927735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b3…96bebacked Trail Blazers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094b…26bbbacked Trail Blazers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe41…af5abacked Trail Blazers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a7…818bbacked Pelicans52c305.21$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-69.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5be6…0554backed Trail Blazers44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16819650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Trail Blazers44c289.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers66c285.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f64…326cbacked Trail Blazers44c282.09$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans39c281.01$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…973bbacked Pelicans58c272.41$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…c551backed Trail Blazers43c272.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers41c265.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135c…f019backed Trail Blazers43c260.47$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.47475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5301…2d04backed Pelicans58c260.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pelicans33c251.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9931935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a19…9ff8backed Trail Blazers42c247.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d2…e75bbacked Pelicans59c247.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0be…fdafbacked Pelicans58c246.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2105…85b2backed Trail Blazers43c246.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf718…87c0backed Pelicans58c244.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7939…33fbbacked Pelicans58c244.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd916…9ea7backed Trail Blazers43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.19683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd61…14b0backed Trail Blazers43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…fe0abacked Trail Blazers43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3533…efffbacked Pelicans58c244.14$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb2…7421backed Trail Blazers43c241.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222c…3fb6backed Trail Blazers43c241.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1750…08e7backed Pelicans58c241.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1131…5c82backed Pelicans58c241.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88d4…8493backed Pelicans58c239.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ab…24efbacked Pelicans58c239.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce6…fdfcbacked Trail Blazers43c239.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9032…ab38backed Trail Blazers43c239.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Trail Blazers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.112960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x804c…fa39backed Pelicans57c233.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.