NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb815a1184745b6ad0ba518c6a296628b5d8e51b7133f73caba5f7199d456941d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 15c | 4,834$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.36 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.85 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Flames | 38c | 3,770$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.31 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 45c | 3,734$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.08 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Flames | 39c | 1,565$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.61 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Devils | 12c | 1,111$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Flames | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Devils | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 61c | 1,016$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.76 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Devils | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Flames | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 61c | 637.74$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 37c | 569.73$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 37c | 541.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 38c | 499.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Devils | 77c | 482.14$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.63 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Flames | 32c | 379.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Devils | 61c | 329.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 38c | 304.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 38c | 263.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Devils | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…9a29backed Flames | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Devils | 27c | 170.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Devils | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Flames | 21c | 152.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Flames | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 13c | 113.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…3fa5backed Devils | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Devils | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Flames | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Devils | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Flames | 19c | 99.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed Devils | 62c | 87.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…322dbacked Flames | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 80c | 79.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Devils | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Devils | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flames | 37c | 76.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Devils | 73c | 71.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Flames | 50c | 70.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Flames | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Devils | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Flames | 36c | 63.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Devils | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Devils | 62c | 54.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…2c0ebacked Flames | 38c | 54.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Flames | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Devils | 64c | 52.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Flames | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…1f60backed Flames | 39c | 51.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…fc67backed Devils | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…305bbacked Devils | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Devils | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…c591backed Flames | 38c | 47.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 37c | 44.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fe…3800backed Flames | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Devils | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Flames | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Devils | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…be07backed Flames | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b553backed Flames | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Devils | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…06bebacked Flames | 38c | 39.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…efafbacked Devils | 63c | 38.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Flames | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…f125backed Devils | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Devils | 63c | 34.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…7ca4backed Flames | 38c | 34.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…c8acbacked Devils | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 63cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Devils | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…39b0backed Devils | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 37c | 31.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…1d9bbacked Flames | 39c | 31.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1371backed Devils | 63c | 30.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Devils | 62c | 30.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…171dbacked Devils | 63c | 30.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Flames | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…a5afbacked Flames | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082d…fd36backed Devils | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Devils | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5477…8135backed Devils | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…b58cbacked Flames | 39c | 28.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe273…5e81backed Devils | 63c | 28.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…27c4backed Flames | 38c | 28.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…db2bbacked Devils | 63c | 28.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…63bcbacked Devils | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…f4a8backed Devils | 62c | 27.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…d973backed Devils | 62c | 27.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…bca7backed Flames | 39c | 27.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Devils | 67c | 26.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…d346backed Devils | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…8acebacked Devils | 63c | 25.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…f4eebacked Devils | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Devils | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…3a0dbacked Devils | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.