Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle: Terence Atmane vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924a6df38904e27c1abd5b38a3f70f03f11d62b090d8d53b3d9faad3eddf2108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gastonof Atmane, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Gaston | 61c | 4,256$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.09 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Atmane | 45c | 2,937$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.65 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…5a43backed Gaston | 58c | 2,790$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…04afbacked Gaston | 58c | 2,292$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.64 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…adc6backed Gaston | 58c | 2,213$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…417fbacked Atmane | 42c | 2,194$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…520fbacked Gaston | 58c | 2,168$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…78d1backed Atmane | 42c | 2,134$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…5130backed Gaston | 58c | 2,113$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…3adebacked Gaston | 58c | 2,068$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…8a77backed Atmane | 42c | 2,054$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Gaston | 58c | 1,809$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Atmane | 42c | 1,806$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…cf94backed Atmane | 42c | 1,465$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…f7a4backed Atmane | 42c | 1,325$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atmane | 40c | 1,234$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0981…fc82backed Atmane | 42c | 1,156$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…7a5abacked Atmane | 42c | 1,145$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…da12backed Atmane | 42c | 1,136$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Gaston | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Atmane | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gaston | 56c | 1,054$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.55 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…36f4backed Atmane | 42c | 1,023$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…b0d0backed Atmane | 42c | 935$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…e2f5backed Gaston | 58c | 913$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gaston | 55c | 899.8$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.91 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…0495backed Gaston | 58c | 891$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…d06cbacked Gaston | 58c | 875$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…201cbacked Atmane | 42c | 869$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…d595backed Atmane | 42c | 863$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…08a0backed Atmane | 42c | 842$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…ddd6backed Gaston | 58c | 830$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…917dbacked Atmane | 42c | 679$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…e85dbacked Gaston | 58c | 667$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Atmane | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Atmane | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Atmane | 43c | 460.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Atmane | 41c | 449.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atmane | 40c | 346.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Atmane | 36c | 335.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gaston | 56c | 266$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Gaston | 64c | 258.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Atmane | 37c | 190.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Gaston | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Gaston | 55c | 145.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Atmane | 41c | 126.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Atmane | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Gaston | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Atmane | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Gaston | 61c | 93.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Atmane | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Atmane | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Gaston | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Atmane | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Gaston | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Gaston | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Gaston | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Gaston | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Atmane | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…c8cabacked Atmane | 41c | 28.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Gaston | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Gaston | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Gaston | 59c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.