TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Stars, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c74…cc9fbacked Stars49c56,000$27,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,440742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c44…91b6backed Kings51c55,998$28,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,438.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d8…d61fbacked Kings53c9,445$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Stars47c7,072$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.9922842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Kings54c4,355$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.985648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars53c3,963$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.0323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings69c3,250$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Kings73c2,255$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.428950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars40c2,214$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Stars35c2,094$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Kings51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Stars49c1,999$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.511540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Stars25c1,758$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.648744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars73c1,567$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Stars23c1,289$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Stars39c1,257$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.879747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars49c1,118$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.371,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked Stars50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9889…3e00backed Kings50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars30c1,090$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Stars53c836.2$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4416554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Stars50c803.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Stars46c800.28$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kings48c780$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Kings48c764.59$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5925340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Kings75c724.08$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings50c722.63$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Kings53c634.93$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.42887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+86%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Stars54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings46c523.78$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.841,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Stars49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.998537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings75c450.7$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.671,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…e256backed Kings52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings50c417$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars48c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…143bbacked Kings51c399.96$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Kings51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings23c376.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kings52c343.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.084158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Stars52c328.55$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Kings62c320.26$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.232166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kings59c312.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.374831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Kings52c309.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars33c304.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Stars50c301.44$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.722050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…cf60backed Stars51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings47c256.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Kings51c246.86$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9621255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Stars51c246.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.32065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Stars50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars51c235.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Stars52c231.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings44c229$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.241,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Kings50c227.84$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.648149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…418fbacked Stars51c225$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Stars55c223.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.028451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8506…12f7backed Stars50c220.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars49c218.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8428842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f1…97f9backed Stars49c210.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd123…368fbacked Kings52c210.19$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Stars9c209$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.387317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7d…a7f0backed Kings52c208.17$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…cb35backed Stars49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0172…7842backed Stars50c206.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…8ca9backed Kings52c205.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc958…0c09backed Stars50c203.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c7…87b4backed Kings53c203.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings50c201.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Stars50c200.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings52c193.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6426…bb53backed Stars54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x942c…0625backed Kings51c185$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…be29backed Stars49c185$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.651040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f68…2be6backed Stars49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.270%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a75…ff83backed Kings51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ab…c5f7backed Kings50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kings51c174.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.245843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd7…5516backed Kings49c173.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Stars14c163.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.618720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings50c157.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Stars32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4a…84e8backed Stars35c152.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Stars52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Kings50c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.19251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars49c140.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings51c139.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2728542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…b4d3backed Stars50c139.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.37812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-81.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd8…a1a6backed Kings49c134.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Kings50c133.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.572055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19c3…a173backed Stars50c132.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Kings50c131.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…3409backed Stars50c128.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.321250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked Kings52c125.94$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Kings52c125.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.656936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Stars52c123.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.412556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.