MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239c32629584691fb3deba75ef1ff3bde90ac75a7a8f4387f16d06afb1703ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Guardians, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 37c | 74,501$27,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,565.35 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Giants | 63c | 72,394$45,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,785.68 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 63c | 20,000$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.82 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 37c | 9,991$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.84 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 37c | 4,894$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 42c | 4,540$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.06 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 46c | 4,048$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Giants | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 33c | 3,236$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.63 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 38c | 3,110$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 67c | 3,042$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.31 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Guardians | 48c | 2,927$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Guardians | 60c | 2,536$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 12c | 2,484$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Giants | 45c | 2,355$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.31 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 53c | 2,333$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Giants | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 63c | 1,934$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Guardians | 56c | 1,851$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 10c | 1,697$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Guardians | 38c | 1,668$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Giants | 62c | 1,665$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 46c | 1,362$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.35 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 59c | 1,212$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 37c | 999.69$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.88 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 57c | 897.64$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 37c | 887.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Giants | 62c | 840$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 50c | 837.27$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Guardians | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Giants | 52c | 713.21$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Guardians | 53c | 633.27$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Guardians | 31c | 555$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Guardians | 23c | 554.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 5c | 547.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 38c | 468.43$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 41c | 379.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Giants | 64c | 314.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Guardians | 50c | 303.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Guardians | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…bac0backed Guardians | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 38c | 263.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 56c | 242.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 47c | 215.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Giants | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 62c | 199.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Guardians | 10c | 178.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Giants | 60c | 176.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…3d6fbacked Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 60c | 169$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Guardians | 16c | 152.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 46c | 144.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Guardians | 49c | 116.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 38c | 116$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 39c | 113.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Guardians | 37c | 110.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…933dbacked Guardians | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guardians | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Giants | 62c | 100.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Guardians | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 22c | 99.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Guardians | 38c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Giants | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 38c | 66.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Guardians | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Guardians | 38c | 65.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 45c | 65.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Giants | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 59c | 61.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Giants | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Giants | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…d6e4backed Guardians | 43c | 58.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 57c | 52.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Guardians | 39c | 51.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Guardians | 42c | 51.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Giants | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Guardians | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Guardians | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Guardians | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Guardians | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Giants | 61c | 49.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Giants | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Guardians | 52c | 46.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.