NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758cfc6002723872cd9af79d2aeb1845f0fc7a93a0bf4e9b863a94057166c93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Heat, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $914,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,034,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x038d…d484backed Heat | 17c | 170,749$29,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,346.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Heat | 13c | 90,080$11,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,481.14 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 14c | 35,637$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.12 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 14c | 34,800$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Heat | 14c | 32,128$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.4 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Heat | 13c | 25,584$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 12c | 17,104$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.51 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 15c | 14,646$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.04 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Heat | 12c | 13,487$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Heat | 14c | 11,847$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.38 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Heat | 14c | 9,888$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.27 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Heat | 0c | 8,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Heat | 14c | 7,531$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.39 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Heat | 15c | 5,436$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Heat | 13c | 4,911$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.69 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 14c | 4,365$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Heat | 14c | 4,358$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Heat | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Heat | 11c | 3,773$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Heat | 14c | 3,000$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Heat | 11c | 2,888$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.01 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 0c | 2,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 15c | 2,688$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Heat | 2c | 2,499$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Heat | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Heat | 14c | 1,784$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.53 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 15c | 1,512$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 1c | 1,444$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,405$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 14c | 1,319$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Heat | 14c | 1,235$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Heat | 1c | 1,213$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 14c | 1,019$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Heat | 11c | 999.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 17c | 999.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…1b41backed Heat | 14c | 935$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Heat | 14c | 921.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Heat | 12c | 907.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Heat | 6c | 900$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 14c | 876.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 12c | 833.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 13c | 830$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…f3efbacked Heat | 15c | 798.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Heat | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 15c | 685.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Heat | 14c | 677.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Heat | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Heat | 14c | 626.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…f420backed Heat | 18c | 569.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 7c | 511$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Heat | 10c | 500.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Heat | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Heat | 14c | 488.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Heat | 9c | 422.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…cb52backed Heat | 14c | 419.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 14c | 350.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Heat | 13c | 350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Heat | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Heat | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Heat | 9c | 305.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Heat | 19c | 301.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Heat | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Heat | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Heat | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Heat | 15c | 205.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Heat | 14c | 203.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Heat | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Heat | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Heat | 13c | 194.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Heat | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Heat | 14c | 174.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Heat | 14c | 174.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Heat | 15c | 173.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 14c | 169$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Heat | 14c | 150.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…b720backed Heat | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Heat | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Heat | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Heat | 14c | 130.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Heat | 13c | 119.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…6b62backed Heat | 14c | 117.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Heat | 15c | 116.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Heat | 18c | 109.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…b3ffbacked Heat | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5af…a2febacked Heat | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…0df9backed Heat | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…b988backed Heat | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Heat | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked Heat | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Heat | 14c | 85.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Heat | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Heat | 14c | 77.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e838backed Heat | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.