TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals48c3,773$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.8986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers56c3,066$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rangers79c3,026$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.771,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals46c2,716$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.4521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals40c2,511$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3239041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals14c2,234$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.022,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals30c1,814$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nationals45c1,715$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.7569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals51c1,578$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.6332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers54c1,283$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.412,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Rangers72c1,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers60c1,231$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rangers70c1,156$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Nationals28c1,145$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31512624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers54c1,134$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Nationals30c1,078$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.21540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers53c955.22$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.951,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Nationals27c869.57$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7812025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers55c833.33$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.8668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rangers69c802.02$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals6c774.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.312488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals33c603.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rangers63c579.98$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1961346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Nationals45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals3c486.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.725053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rangers54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9629240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Nationals22c438.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.547841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Nationals48c434.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.891749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers77c427.17$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Nationals14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27be…e3a9backed Nationals46c395.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nationals45c367.82$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.525,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nationals19c356.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.981,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers68c346.59$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rangers66c294.12$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers54c285$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers73c272.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nationals43c272.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.393240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Nationals44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers62c233.24$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.991,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers57c223.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers55c212.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8452542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Nationals44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Rangers56c195.74$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.745444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals37c183.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nationals45c174.47$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5114444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers56c159.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Nationals44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd3…8757backed Rangers77c157.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3897…944bbacked Rangers77c101.61$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Nationals30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Nationals50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Nationals26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Nationals46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers52c96.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Rangers69c91.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4928447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Nationals43c84.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5319849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Nationals44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers57c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6165549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb4…e810backed Rangers55c77.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddf…a6a6backed Nationals46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed Rangers56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.434351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rangers57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.942955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers54c61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.062,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nationals43c59.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Nationals22c58.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.960%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Nationals44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rangers54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.340352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.651,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Rangers67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Rangers56c43.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1517149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Nationals47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers55c41.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.661,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f87…7fddbacked Nationals44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Rangers56c38.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.894341.9%18 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ed6…b287backed Rangers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a8…59e3backed Rangers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Rangers52c34.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6726…542fbacked Rangers66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a9…609fbacked Rangers58c29.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x440b…d50cbacked Rangers70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nationals46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Nationals44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214257%81 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe319…0474backed Rangers74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0084…4c4fbacked Rangers71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8311165.8%73 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8117…5eebbacked Rangers78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nationals45c25.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2623545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…2c55backed Rangers57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers52c23.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Rangers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.17656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.