MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeeb24fa9701565dfcee937a05bb3bbbccd564b062b8bfb7f36cd60a671703f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof White Sox, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Cubs | 66c | 3,240$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox | 36c | 2,801$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 74c | 2,230$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 22c | 2,083$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 67c | 1,762$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.73 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…6d85backed Cubs | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…a15bbacked White Sox | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 22c | 1,572$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Cubs | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed White Sox | 27c | 1,478$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 71c | 1,372$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox | 3c | 1,364$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed White Sox | 30c | 983.2$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed White Sox | 27c | 799$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Cubs | 73c | 799$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 29c | 696.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed White Sox | 34c | 665.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 33c | 461.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Cubs | 76c | 317.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed White Sox | 7c | 287.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 31c | 191.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed White Sox | 16c | 177$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cubs | 66c | 152.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Cubs | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 76c | 138.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 79c | 129.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Cubs | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox | 32c | 79.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Cubs | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked White Sox | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 68c | 65.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…e4a5backed Cubs | 73c | 61.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Cubs | 72c | 52.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Cubs | 71c | 51.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed White Sox | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 72c | 43.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 74c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 71c | 39.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Cubs | 76c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Cubs | 74c | 27.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…f95fbacked Cubs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Cubs | 72c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…d867backed Cubs | 73c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Cubs | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.