MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78e69e3965dd7fb2999d54ad73a3aff7e263b73a91a741b1516ef0b5e8a1e9f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 27c | 20,000$5,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.9 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Padres | 61c | 14,510$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 14,272$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.61 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 9,857$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 58c | 9,520$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.91 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Padres | 62c | 9,024$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 8,472$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 7,669$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.75 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 6,859$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 5,800$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 50c | 4,788$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.68 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 4,700$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.03 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 4,550$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.08 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 5c | 4,341$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Padres | 50c | 4,298$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,900$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 58c | 3,300$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 2,731$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.68 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 59c | 2,635$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.6 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,597$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.51 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.21 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.97 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 31c | 2,282$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 56c | 1,900$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 1,723$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.02 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,455$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.77 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 1,446$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,430$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.09 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 57c | 1,103$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,040$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.31 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Padres | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 976.77$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 924.34$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 71c | 915.36$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.19 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Padres | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 61c | 816.39$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 31c | 800.26$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 799.98$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Padres | 29c | 734.74$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Padres | 3c | 516$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 509.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 55c | 498.56$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Padres | 58c | 491.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 3c | 449.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 57c | 447.37$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Padres | 57c | 429.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 384.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 348.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Padres | 58c | 340.91$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 339.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 330$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 287.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Padres | 37c | 274.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Padres | 56c | 244.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 241.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 58c | 233.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 61c | 231.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…05adbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 231.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Padres | 31c | 206.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 57c | 201.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 190.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…963abacked Padres | 58c | 189.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 39c | 183.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Padres | 57c | 183.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 183.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 170.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 161.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed Padres | 61c | 156.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…fd30backed Padres | 57c | 146.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…c894backed Padres | 57c | 131.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…8e32backed Padres | 12c | 128.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e3…8102backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 119.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…9480backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 112.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b84…49febacked Padres | 58c | 104.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Padres | 58c | 102.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 101.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 100.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Padres | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.