MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b54304c5695592f54dd45eacb4d6ffd1554906282020de420126fc4e69a2be8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Cubs, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb93b…6791backed Tigers | 63c | 9,997$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…6967backed Cubs | 37c | 9,996$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…15b6backed Tigers | 66c | 9,995$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…fbd0backed Cubs | 34c | 9,992$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 36c | 8,920$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.21 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cubs | 38c | 7,191$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 37c | 7,036$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.41 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers | 62c | 6,450$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.05 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 63c | 6,197$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.8 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cubs | 38c | 6,059$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.06 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…40febacked Tigers | 64c | 5,934$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cubs | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 16c | 4,239$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Tigers | 64c | 4,219$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.75 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 63c | 4,167$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.64 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 62c | 3,913$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…16c0backed Cubs | 36c | 3,109$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…4666backed Cubs | 36c | 2,825$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 63c | 2,503$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 65c | 2,346$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Tigers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 62c | 1,920$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.6 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 36c | 1,776$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.27 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Cubs | 37c | 1,446$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 62c | 1,380$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 63c | 1,348$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Cubs | 36c | 1,233$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cubs | 30c | 1,186$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.38 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 15c | 1,152$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 34c | 1,150$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 38c | 1,063$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 62c | 1,055$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 62c | 1,036$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cubs | 38c | 999.67$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 2c | 950$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tigers | 63c | 888.55$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.76 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 62c | 865.91$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.78 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cubs | 37c | 803.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.27 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Cubs | 15c | 734.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 67c | 690$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 38c | 658.34$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…e14cbacked Cubs | 37c | 640$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 39c | 625.85$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 71c | 591$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Cubs | 37c | 539.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cubs | 6c | 531.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 38c | 515.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cubs | 32c | 499.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tigers | 63c | 471.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.43 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 37c | 445.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 61c | 418.23$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed Tigers | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Tigers | 63c | 395.92$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Tigers | 63c | 382$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 38c | 281.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Cubs | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cubs | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Tigers | 63c | 249.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 36c | 242.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…8e4fbacked Tigers | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Tigers | 64c | 213.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 29c | 211.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Cubs | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Tigers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Cubs | 17c | 199.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cubs | 37c | 196.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Cubs | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cubs | 11c | 175.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cubs | 32c | 156.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Cubs | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Cubs | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Cubs | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Tigers | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…2e3abacked Cubs | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…3450backed Tigers | 76c | 125.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Tigers | 64c | 119.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 69c | 116.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cubs | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Cubs | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Cubs | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…acd6backed Cubs | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…48f8backed Tigers | 63c | 108$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cubs | 36c | 107.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed Cubs | 37c | 106.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked Tigers | 62c | 106.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…1ac1backed Cubs | 36c | 104$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d9…91c7backed Tigers | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.